Why Rich People Never Try to Time the Markets
May 29, 2025
Why Perfect Timing Is Perfectly Overrated
I was queuing at my local coffee shop yesterday morning when I overheard two blokes debating whether they should "wait for Bitcoin to drop" before buying in. One had been waiting since $30,000. The other since $45,000. Bitcoin was trading at $62,000 at the time.
As I stood there clutching my overpriced latte, I couldn't help but think about all the opportunities we miss while waiting for the "perfect moment."
The biggest myth that keeps most people from building real wealth is this: the belief that successful investing requires perfect timing.
The Great Timing Delusion 🎯
90-95% of active traders lose money over time, yet we still believe we can outsmart the market.
Trying to time the market perfectly is rather like attempting to predict exactly when your train will arrive – you might get lucky occasionally, but you'll spend most of your time frustrated on the platform. The financial markets are even less punctual than British Rail, which is saying something.
Michael Saylor, CEO of MicroStrategy, has turned this conventional wisdom on its head. His company now holds over 580,250 Bitcoin (worth roughly 36 billion at today's prices), making them the largest corporate Bitcoin holder in the world. Just a few days ago, they purchased another 4,020 Bitcoin for 427 million – their latest in a series of weekly purchases that happen regardless of price, news, or whether Mercury is in retrograde.
Why does this matter to your portfolio? Because while most people are paralyzed by analysis, wealthy investors are quietly accumulating assets. They've learned that being in the market consistently beats trying to time it perfectly.
Have you ever calculated how much you might have made if you'd started investing regularly six months ago instead of waiting for the "right time"?
The Saylor Strategy: Boring But Brilliant 📈
The world's most successful Bitcoin investor buys at all-time highs and couldn't care less about "buying the dip."
Saylor's approach is about as exciting as watching paint dry, but considerably more profitable. It's like the investment equivalent of taking the same route to work every day – predictable, systematic, and surprisingly effective. His recent quote says it all: "If you're not buying Bitcoin at the all-time high, you're leaving money on the table."
This flies in the face of everything we've been taught about investing. We're conditioned to hunt for bargains, to wait for crashes, to time our entries perfectly. Meanwhile, MicroStrategy has been buying Bitcoin almost weekly since 2020, accumulating during bull runs, bear markets, and everything in between.
The calculations are rather compelling:
- Dollar-cost averaging removes emotion from investing decisions
- Regular purchases smooth out price volatility over time
- Consistency beats perfection in wealth building
- Time in the market trumps timing the market
The practical implication? If you believe in an asset's long-term value, your entry strategy matters more than your entry price. Rather like learning to drive – you don't wait for empty roads to start practicing.
The Consistency Compound Effect 💰
Regular investing turns small amounts into substantial wealth through the magic of compound growth.
Think of consistent investing like brewing a proper cup of tea – it's not about rushing the process, it's about letting time do the work. Warren Buffett (who's had considerably more practice at this than either of us) built 99% of his wealth after age 50, not through brilliant market timing, but through decades of consistent investing.
Here's what most people miss: a $100 weekly investment at 10% annual returns becomes $109,000 after 10 years. That same $100 invested sporadically when you "feel good about the market" typically yields far less, because feelings are notoriously poor investment advisors.
The beauty of regular investing is that it removes the need to make perfect decisions. Bad timing gets averaged out, good timing gets captured naturally, and you sleep better knowing you're building wealth systematically rather than gambling on market predictions.
What would happen to your financial future if you automated just £50 per week into long-term investments, starting today?
The Paradox of Patience 🕐
The investors making real money aren't the ones watching charts – they're the ones ignoring them.
This brings us to perhaps the most counterintuitive aspect of successful investing: the less attention you pay to daily price movements, the better your returns tend to be. It's rather like a watched kettle never boiling, except in reverse – a watched portfolio never seems to grow.
The data supports this beautifully. Studies show that investors who check their portfolios daily underperform those who check monthly by roughly 2% annually. Those who check weekly fall somewhere in between. The reason? Frequent monitoring leads to frequent tinkering, and frequent tinkering usually means buying high and selling low.
"If you believe in the long-term value of an asset, trying to catch the perfect price doesn't matter nearly as much as being in the market."
Moving Forward
The wealthy don't stay wealthy by making perfect predictions – they do it by making consistent decisions. Rather like maintaining a garden, the magic happens through regular attention, not dramatic intervention.
Michael Saylor and MicroStrategy have essentially turned investing into a habit rather than a hobby. They've removed emotion, eliminated timing decisions, and focused purely on accumulation. It's about as thrilling as watching grass grow, but considerably more profitable than trying to catch falling knives in the market.
The financial markets will continue their eternal dance of boom and bust, fear and greed, optimism and pessimism. But somewhere in the background, the consistent investors will keep quietly building wealth while everyone else debates the perfect entry point.
What's one small step you could take this week to make your investing more consistent and less dependent on perfect timing?
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